2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains — Panjiva
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Supply Chain Research

2018 Outlook: 5 Black Swan Risks for Global Supply Chains

China 2985 Cons. Discr. - Autos 1193 Corp - Ports 887 Corp - Shipping 986 Energy - Conventional 449 Global 1389 Iran 33 Materials - Metals/Mining 761 Mergers 220 Mexico 892 Mode - Containerized 1481 Mode - Rail 117 Mode - Seaborne 1811 Mode - Truck 75 Outlook 95 Research Recaps 25 Saudi Arabia 47 Strikes 72 Theme - Alliances 97 Trade Deals 1000 U.S. 5332

Global supply chains face a morass of regulatory, political, physical and financial challenges in 2018. These raise at least five risks beyond the normal-course issues identified elsewhere in the Panjiva 2018 Outlook. Marine conflict in the South China Sea resulting from Chinese land claims would restrict trade in the region, though with $164 billion of annual exports at stake China is unlikely to take the first shot. Conflict in the Middle East meanwhile – including a restriction of shipping through the Hormuz Strait – would lead to higher oil prices, reduced activity for container line...

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